åœç«å€©æå°(NAOJ)ã京éœå€§åŠ(京倧)ãå µåº«çç«å€§åŠã®3è ã¯12æ9æ¥ã京倧 岡山倩æå°ã®ãããããæé é¡ããå µåº«çç«å€§ 西ã¯ããŸå€©æå°ã®ããªããæé é¡ããªã©ãè€æ°ã®æé é¡ã«ãã飿ºèŠ³æž¬ã§ã幎霢1åæ³ã»ã©ã®è¥ã倪éœåæããã ã座EKæãã§çºçããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã«äŒŽã£ãŠãã巚倧ãã£ã©ã¡ã³ãããåŽåºããŠããæ§åãåå 芳枬ã«ãã£ãŠæããããããšã«æåãããšçºè¡šããã
åææã¯ãNAOJ ã¢ã«ããããžã§ã¯ã/æ¥æ¬åŠè¡æ¯èäŒã®è¡æ¹å®ä» ç¹å¥ç ç©¶å¡(ç ç©¶åœæã»äº¬å€§å€§åŠé¢ç)ãNAOJ ãã¯ã€èŠ³æž¬æå²¡å±±å宀ã®ååè£ä¹å©æã京倧 çåŠç ç©¶ç§ ç©çåŠã»å®å®ç©çåŠå°æ» å®å®ç©çåŠæå®€ã®éäžå€§äœåææãã®å ±åç ç©¶ããŒã ã«ãããã®ã詳现ã¯ãè±ç§åŠèªãNatureãç³»ã®å€©æåŠè¡èªãNature Astronomyãã«æ²èŒãããã
倪éœã¯ãã®ç Žå£çãªãšãã«ã®ãŒãå®å®ç©ºéã«æŸåºããèã¶ãç¬éãããã衚é¢ã§èµ·ããçªçºçãªççºçŸè±¡ã§ãã倪éœãã¬ã¢ãšãããã«äŒŽãè³ªéæŸåºçŸè±¡ã®ããã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåºãããããäžå±€ã§èµ·ãããã³ããè³ªéæŸåºãã§ããã
倪éœãã¬ã¢ã¯ã倪éœã®äžéšã§èµ·ããçŸè±¡ã ããããã100å(1022)ãã10ð¥±(1025)Jãšãããã»ã©ã®èšå€§ãªãšãã«ã®ãŒã§ããã倪éœãã¬ã¢ã«äŒŽãã³ããè³ªéæŸåºãªã©ã«ãã£ãŠé«éã§æŸå°ãããè·é»ç²åãæŸå°ç·ãå°çãçŽæããããšã§ãããŸããŸãªè¢«å®³ãçããããšãåãã£ãŠããã
äŸãã°èŠ³æž¬å²äžæå€§ãšãããã1859幎ã«çºçãããã£ãªã³ãã³ãã¬ã¢(100ð¥±ã1026J)ã§ã¯ãåœæã¯ãŸã éä¿¡ç¶²ãšããã°é»å ±ãäžå¿ã§ãã£ããã倧ããªè¢«å®³ãåãããšããããšããããå®å®ã¯åºå€§ã§ãäž»ã«èµ€è²ç®æ(Må)ã®ãããªå€ªéœãããå°åã®ææã§ã¯ããã£ãªã³ãã³ãã¬ã¢ã®ããã10åã®1000ð¥±(1027)Jãšãããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãããé »ç¹ã«çºçããããšãåãã£ãŠããã
æã ã®å€ªéœã®ãããªGåã®äžèŠæš¡ã¯ã©ã¹ã®ææã«ã¯é¢ä¿ãªã話ããšæãããŠãããããããèŠããã®ããä»åã®ç ç©¶ããŒã ã®äžå¡ã§ããNAOJã®è¡æ¹ç¹å¥ç ç©¶å¡ãã®ç ç©¶ã§ãã£ãã倪éœåæ(è¡šé¢æž©åºŠã絶察枩床5000ïœ6000KçšåºŠã®å€ªéœã«ãã䌌ããã©ã¡ãŒã¿ãæã€ææ)ã§ããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãçºçããããšã確èªãããã®ã§ãããã€ãŸãã倪éœã§ãã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã¯çºçããå±éºæ§ããããšããããšã§ããã
ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãäžãäžå°çãçŽæããå Žåã被害ã¯1åœã®ã¬ãã«ã§ã¯åãŸãããå°çèŠæš¡ã®è¢«å®³ãåããæãããããæŒã®åŽã®åœã§éé»ç¶²ãå€§èŠæš¡ã«ç Žå£ãã(ãã®åŸ©æ§ãŸã§ã«10幎ã¯ããããšèããããŠãã)ããŸãè»éäžã®GPSãéä¿¡ãæŸéãæ°è±¡äºå ±ãçœå®³æã®æ å ±åéãªã©ãçŸä»£ç€ŸäŒãæ¯ããæ°ã ã®äººå·¥è¡æã倿°ãç Žå£ãããå¯èœæ§ããããšãããã»ããæ»è ãååäœã§åºããšãã説ãããããã®ãããè¿å¹Žã¯å®å®å€©æ°äºå ±ãšããŠã倪éœã®æŽ»åç¶æ³ã®èŠ³æž¬ãéèŠèŠãããããã«ãªã£ãŠããã
ãŸããè¥ã倪éœåæã¯ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãããé«é »åºŠã§èµ·ããããšãããã£ãŠããããè¥ãããšã¯ãææããã®äžå¿ã§å®å®ããŠæ žèååå¿ãç¶ããããããã«ãªã£ãçŽåŸãããã®æ®µéãæå³ããææç³»ã¯ãã§ã«èªçããŠãããšæåŸ ãããææã ããã®ããšãããæã ã®å€ªéœã¯ä»ã¯çŽ46åæ³ãšã寿åœã®ååã»ã©ãéãã幎霢ãšãªã£ãŠèœã¡çããŠãããããã£ãšè¥ãé ã¯æŽ»çºã§ãã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãçºçãããŠããããšãæšæž¬ãããŠããã
ãã®ãããªè¥ã倪éœã倪éœåæã§çºçããŠããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã¯ãå°çã倪éœç³»å€ææã§ã®çåœçåç°å¢ã®çæã»ç¶æã«ã倧ããªåœ±é¿ãåãŒããŠããå¯èœæ§ãææãããŠãããè¿å¹Žæ³šç®ãããŠãããããããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãé »çºãããããªææãå·¡ãææã®å ŽåãæŸå°ç·ã®ç©ºéç·éã10Svã»ã©ã«è³ããå°çåçåœäœã«ãšã£ãŠã¯èŽåœçãªå€ãšãªããšãç ç©¶ããŒã ãéå»ã«çºè¡šããŠããã
ãŸãå°çã§ã¯ãæš¹æšå¹ŽèŒªã®ççŽ 14ã«ããåæãªã©ãããçŽå å5410幎ãçŽå å660幎ã西æŠ775幎ã西æŠ993幎ã«å®å®ç·éãå¢å ããŠããããšã確èªãããŠãããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã®å¯èœæ§ãææãããŠããã
ãããã倪éœåæã®ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã¯çºçã確èªãããŠããŠããããã«äŒŽãè³ªéæŸåºçŸè±¡ã¯ãããŸã§æ€åºãããŠããªãã£ãããã®ãããã©ã®ããã«ææç°å¢ã«åœ±é¿ãäžããã®ãããŸã£ããããã£ãŠããªãã£ããšããã
ãããæ€åºããã«ã¯ãèŠç·æ¹åã®éåãç¥ãããšãã§ããåå 芳枬ãå¿ èŠã ãããããŸã§ã¯æ€åºæåºŠã®äžè¶³ã»èŠ³æž¬æéã®äžè¶³ãçç±ã§ãæåã«çµã³ä»ããªãã£ããšããã
ããã§ç ç©¶ããŒã ã¯ä»åã京倧ã®å£åŸ3.8mã®ããããæé é¡ãšããããäžå¿ãšããèšå€§ãªèŠ³æž¬æéãçšããŠã倪éœåæã®ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã®åå 芳枬ããŒã¿ãå ¥æããããšãèšç»ãåèšç»ãéããŠããã¬ã¢æŽ»åãé«ã倪éœåæã«ãããŠããã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåºã®ãããªè³ªéæŸåºçŸè±¡ãå®éã«çºçãããã®ããšããåãã«æ±ºçãã€ããææç°å¢ãžã®åœ±é¿ã®æç¡ã芳枬çã«å¶éããããšãèãããšããã
ä»åã®ã¿ãŒã²ãããšãããã®ããçŽ1åæ³ãšããè¥ã倪éœåæã§ãããã ã座EKæ(忥µæã®è¿ãã«äœçœ®ãã)ãæã ã®å€ªéœã¯çµ¶å¯Ÿæž©åºŠã§çŽ5800Kã§ããã ã座EKæã¯çŽ5750Kã§ããã倪éœãšæ¯èŒçããäŒŒãæ§é ãããŠãããšèããããŠããã
-

ä»å芳枬ãè¡ãããè¥ã倪éœåæã®ãã ã座EKæã®ã€ã¡ãŒãžãã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã®çºçã«äŒŽãã巚倧ãªãã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåºãèµ·ããŠãã (C)åœç«å€©æå° (åºæ:å ±åãã¬ã¹ãªãªãŒã¹è³æ)
åææãç¶ç¶ããŠäœåºŠãåå ãã芳枬ãã2020幎2æãã4æãŸã§ã®çŽ32æ¥éã«ããã£ãŠãçŽ0.5ïŒ ãšããé«ç²ŸåºŠãã€çŽ1åã®ééã§é£ç¶ããŠå®æœããŸãããããæé é¡ã«å ããå µåº«çç«å€§ 西ã¯ããŸå€©æå°ã®å£åŸ2.0mã®ãªããæé é¡ã§ããåæéã«åå 芳枬ãè¡ã£ãã»ããNASAã®ç³»å€æææ¢çŽ¢ãäž»ç®çãšããŠããè¡æãTESSããæŽ»çšããæã®æããå€åãæž¬å®ããæž¬å 芳枬ãåæã«å®æœãããããè€æ°ã®æé é¡ãçšãã飿ºèŠ³æž¬ãè¡ã£ãçç±ã«ã€ããŠç ç©¶ããŒã ã§ã¯ãåææ€åºã«ãããã¬ã¢ã®åå ããŒã¿ã忀åºããããšãè£ä»ããããšãçã£ããšããŠããã
-

ä»åã®èŠ³æž¬ã§å©çšãããæé é¡ã(å·Š)京倧岡山倩æå°ã®ããããæé é¡ (C)京éœå€§åŠã(äž)å µåº«çç«å€§ 西ã¯ããŸå€©æå°ã®ãªããæé é¡ (C)西ã¯ããŸå€©æå°ã(å³)NASAã®ãã©ã³ãžããæææ¢æ»è¡æTESS (C)NASA (åºæ:å ±åãã¬ã¹ãªãªãŒã¹è³æ)
åå 芳枬ã§ã¯ãã¬ã¢äžã®HÎ±æ°ŽçŽ ç·ãåŸããããããããããã©ãŒã·ããããèµ·ãããŠãããã©ããã調ã¹ããããããã«ãããç©è³ªãèŠç·æ¹åã«éåããŠããã®ããéåããŠããã®ãªãã©ã®çšåºŠã®é床ãªã®ããšãã£ãããšãç®åºããããšãå¯èœã ããã ã
ããã«ã倪éœã§çºçãã(ã»ãã®ææã§ã®çŸè±¡ã«æ¯ã¹ããšå°èŠæš¡ãª)ãã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåºã®HÎ±æ°ŽçŽ ç·ã®ããŒã¿(京éœå€§åŠé£éššå€©æå°ã§èŠ³æž¬)ãšæ¯èŒãã倪éœåæã§èŠ³æž¬ãããçŸè±¡ã倪éœã§èµ·ããŠãããã®ãšåããã©ããã®æ€èšã宿œãã¡ãªã¿ã«ããã§èªããããã£ã©ã¡ã³ããšã¯ãå¥åããããã³ã¹ãšãããããã倪éœã®è¡šé¢äžã«åŽåºããå Žåã¯ãè¡šé¢æž©åºŠãããäœæž©ã®ããã«é»ãèŠããããããããã£ã©ã¡ã³ããšåŒã°ãããäžæ¹ã倪éœã®çžããé£ã³åºããŠå ãèŒããŠã¿ããã®ãããããã³ã¹ã§ãããåç§°ã¯éãããã©ã¡ããåããã®ã§ããã
-

(å·Š)倪éœã®ãã£ã©ã¡ã³ãã(å³)ããããã³ã¹ãšã³ããè³ªéæŸåº(CME)ããã³Hαç·ã§ã®å(NAOJ ä¹éã³ãã芳枬æ) (C)åœç«å€©æå° (åºæ:å ±åãã¬ã¹ãªãªãŒã¹è³æ)
ãããŠæ¥æ¬æé2020幎4æ6æ¥ã枬å 芳枬ã«ããçœè²å ã®å¢å ãšåæã«ãåå 芳枬ã«ããHÎ±æ°ŽçŽ ç·ã§ãæã®å ãå¢å€§ããçŸè±¡ãæ€åºããããTESSãæã®æããã0.3ïŒ æãããªãæ§åãæãããã®ãšãã«ã®ãŒã¯æå€§çŽã®å€ªéœãã¬ã¢ã®çŽ20åã§ãã£ãããšãããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã§ããããšã確èªããããå²äžåãšãªããå¯èŠå ç·ã§ã®ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã®åå èŠ³æž¬ã«æåããç¬éã ãšããã
ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã®çºçã«äŒŽã£ãŠãHÎ±æ°ŽçŽ ç·ããããã©ãŒã·ãããèµ·ããã1äžåºŠçšåºŠã®ç©è³ªãèŠç·æ¹åã«æ²¿ã£ãŠè¿ä»ãåãã«éåããŠããæ§åãæããããããã®æ§åã¯ãå®ã¯å€ªéœã§ã®ãã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåºãšãã䌌ãŠããããšã倿ãããããããšããã倪éœåæã§ã®ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã®çºçããè¶ å·šå€§ãªãã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåºã䌎ã£ãŠããããšãåããŠèŠ³æž¬ããããšããã
-

(å·Š)ãã ã座EKæã®ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢çºçæã®ã€ã©ã¹ããæè¡šé¢ã§ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãçºçããæãããšããããHαç·ãçœè²å ãæŸå°ãããŠãããäžæ¹ããã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåºã¯ãHαç·ãåžåããèŠç·æ¹åã«å¯ŸããŠéåããŠããå Žåã¯ãæããã®å ãåžåããŠæãèŠããã(å³)å®éã«åŸãããHÎ±æ°ŽçŽ ç·ã®åå ããŒã¿ãã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢çºçæã¯ãHÎ±æ°ŽçŽ ç·äžå¿ã§æããå ã£ãŠãã(èµ€ç·)ãäžæ¹ãçŽ10ååŸã«ã¯ãèŠç·æ¹åã«å¯ŸããŠæ¯ç§æ°çŸkmã®é床ã§éåããåžåæåãåè¶ããŠããããšãæ€åºããã(éç·)ããããããã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåºã®èšŒæ ã§ãããšèãããããšãã (C)åœç«å€©æå° (åºæ:å ±åãã¬ã¹ãªãªãŒã¹è³æ)
åŽåºãããã£ã©ã¡ã³ãã®è³ªéã¯ã倪éœã§èµ·ãã£ãå²äžæå€§çŽã®è³ªéæŸåºçŸè±¡ã®10å以äžã®1000å kgã§ãããããã«ç§éçŽ500kmãã®é«éã§åŽåºããŠããããšãæãããšãªã£ãããªããå žåçãªå€ªéœãã£ã©ã¡ã³ãã®åŽåºé床ã¯ç§éçŽ10ïœ400kmã§ããã
ãã®å¯èŠå ã«ããåå 芳枬ã«ããã倪éœåæã®ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã«äŒŽãç©è³ªã®éåãšããæ°ããªæãéããã圢ãšãªã£ããããã«ããã倪éœåæã§çºçããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ããè³ªéæŸåºãšãã圢ã§åšå²ã®ææé空éã«å€å€§ãªåœ±é¿ãåãŒããŠãããšããããããŸã§æ³åã§ãããªãã£ãæåãæããã«ããããã®åéã倧ããåé²ããããšããã
-

ãã ã座EKæã®ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢(å·Š)ãšã京倧é£éššå€©æå°SMARTæé é¡ã§èŠ³æž¬ãããã倪éœãã§ã®ãã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåº(å³)ããHαç·ã§æ¯èŒãäž¡è ã®Hαç·ã®å€åãéåžžã«ãã䌌ãŠããããšã倿ãã倪éœåæã§ãåããããªçŸè±¡ãèµ·ããŠããããšã確å®çã«ãªã£ãããã ããæšªè»žã»çžŠè»žã®ã¹ã±ãŒã«ã¯å€§ããç°ãªãããã ã座EKæã§ã®çŸè±¡ã¯ããªãå€§èŠæš¡ã§ãã£ãããšãæšæž¬ããã (C)åœç«å€©æå° (åºæ:å ±åãã¬ã¹ãªãªãŒã¹è³æ)
ä»åã®ç ç©¶ãäžè¬åãããšãè¥ã倪éœã»è¥ã倪éœåæã¯ã巚倧ãªè³ªéæŸåºãšãã圢ã§ããã®åšå²ãåãè¥ãå°çãè¥ã倪éœç³»å€ææã®å€§æ°ã®é²åã«ãæ·±å»ãªåœ±é¿ãäžããå¯èœæ§ãããããšããããšãããæ ã«ä»åã®ç ç©¶ã¯ãè¥ã倪éœåæã§ã®åŽåºçŸè±¡ãè¥ãå°çã»ææå€§æ°ã®é²å(ããã³çåœèªçã»ç¶æ)ã«åœ±é¿ããå¯èœæ§ã芳枬çã«åããŠç€ºåããã ãã§ãªãããã®åœ±é¿ãè°è«ããå¯äžã®èŠ³æž¬äŸãåŸãããšããæçŸ©ããããšããŠããã
ãŸãä»åçºèŠããããã®çŸè±¡ã¯ã倪éœã®ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢çºçã«äŒŽã£ãŠåŽåºããã巚倧ãã£ã©ã¡ã³ããäºæ³ããã¢ãã«ãšãæããããšãã§ããããã®æå³ã§ã倪éœãå°çã»ææç°å¢ã«ãæå€§ã§ã©ãããã圱é¿ãäžããã®ãïŒããè©äŸ¡ããå¯äžã®èŠ³æž¬ãåŸããšããæçŸ©ããããšããŠããã
è¿å¹Žãææã«ãããçåœèªçã»ç¶æã倩æåŠã«ããã倧ããªããŒãã«ãªã£ãŠãããå è¡ç ç©¶ã§ã¯ãè³ªéæŸåºçŸè±¡ããææå€§æ°ã®é²å(ããšãã°ãæž©å®€å¹æã¬ã¹ãææ©ç©ã®çæãææå€§æ°ã®å¥ãåã)ã«é¢äžãããšããã¢ãã«ãæå±ãããŠããã
ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã¯æã ã«ãšã£ãŠã¯æãããçŸè±¡ã ãã倪éœç³»ãèªçããã°ããã®é ã倪éœã¯ä»ããã3å²ã»ã©æãã£ããšãããå°çã¯ããã¿ãã«ãŸãŒã³ã®å€åŽã ã£ããšãã説ããããããããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã倧æ°ã«åœ±é¿ãäžããããšã§æž©å®€å¹æã¬ã¹ãçºçããã倧æ°ãæž©ããå¯èœæ§ããããšãããã€ãŸããçåœãèªçããã«ã¯ãã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãäžåœ¹è²·ã£ãŠããã®ãããããªãããšããããšã ã
ä»åã®çºèŠã§ã®è³ªéæŸåºã®ç¢ºããªæ€åºãããã³ãã®æ§è³ªã®è§£æã«ãããè¥ã倪éœã倪éœåæããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãè³ªéæŸåºçŸè±¡ãšãã£ã圢ã§è¥ãå°çã»ç«æãããã³è¥ãç³»å€ææå€§æ°ã®ç¶æã»æé·ã«åœ±é¿ããå¯èœæ§ããããå®éçã«è°è«ããããšãã§ããããã«ãªããšæåŸ ããããšããŠããã
ãŸãã倪éœã§ã¯ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ã®çºçé »åºŠã¯æ°çŸå¹Žã«äžåºŠçšåºŠã§éåžžã«äœããšãããŠãããããããçºçããŠãå°çãšã¯å察æ¹ååŽã§èµ·ããå¯èœæ§ãªã©ãããã絶察ã«çºçããããããå°çã«å€å€§ãªè¢«å®³ãããããããšããããã§ã¯ãªããããããäžãäžçŽæããã倧å€ãªè¢«å®³ã«ãªãããšã¯ç¢ºå®ã§ããã
ä»åã®èŠ³æž¬ææã倪éœã§çºçãããã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãå€§èŠæš¡ãªè³ªéæŸåºã®ä»£ãããšæãããããå°çç°å¢ã«åãŒã圱é¿ãèŠç©ããããšãã§ããã°ãã倪éœã§ã¹ãŒããŒãã¬ã¢ãçºçããããå°çç°å¢ã¯ã©ããªãã®ãïŒããšããäººé¡ææã«ãšã£ãŠãé倧ãªåãã«çããæãããã«ãªããæžçœé¢ã§ã®è²¢ç®ã«ãªããšããã
ããã«ããã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåºçŸè±¡ã®çºçé »åºŠã¯ã倪éœåæããã³å€ªéœã®è³ªéãèªè»¢é床ã«ã倧ãã圱é¿ããå¯èœæ§ããããããã倪éœãšå°çã®éå»ã®å§¿ãç¥ãã«ã¯éèŠã ãç ç©¶ããŒã ã¯ä»åŸããã®ãã£ã©ã¡ã³ãåŽåºã®çºçé »åºŠã調ã¹ã倪éœåæã®ææã®å€§æ°ã®é²åã«ã©ãã»ã©åœ±é¿ãäžããã®ããæããã«ããããšèããŠãããšãããä»åŸãå°éã«èŠ³æž¬ãç¶ç¶ããããšã§ã人é¡ã®å®å®ææã®ç¶ç¶ãããã³çåœèªçã»ç¶æã«ãŸã€ãã課é¡ã1ã€1ã€è§£æ±ºãããŠãããšæåŸ ããããšããŠããã